Polymarket Trader

sigmakappa

0xc90fec59a08711b9df9f35a507fb7aac86b2a598

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $431.02
Realized PnL: $2.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$1.33K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $845
Potential profit: $845
User PnL: -$776.56

No position

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $425.25
Potential payout: $810
Potential profit: $384.75
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$11.15

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $5.77
Potential payout: $20.66
Potential profit: $14.89
Multiplier: 3.58x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.36
Potential profit: $6.36
User PnL: -$1.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.01

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.55

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.32

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.88

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.69

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.54

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.11

No position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.07

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.31

No position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.63

No position

US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.27

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.11

No position

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.87

No position

US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.23

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.54

No position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.36

No position

US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.06

No position

Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $25.78

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $25

No position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.72

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $19.93

No position

US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.13

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 54% 710 shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 53% 60 shares
Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 61% 719 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 24.2% 20.66 shares
Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 59% 320 shares
Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 58% 20 shares
Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 58% 229 shares
Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 57% 30 shares
Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 57% 120 shares
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

No 92% 90 shares
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

No 90% 12 shares
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

No 91% 205.72 shares