Polymarket Trader

thevisionaryman

0xc9168c460a136f2ee89b3d2e65afcfc9c0cbe32e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.11K
Realized PnL: $7.57K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $103.78
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.4

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $69.02
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $17.79

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $897.72
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $394.15
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $821.14

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 78.9%
Current value: $369.53
Potential payout: $468.35
Potential profit: $98.82
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $176.5

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.9%
Current value: $381.87
Potential payout: $455.42
Potential profit: $73.55
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $44.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $959.25

No position

Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $281.31

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $135.66

No position

Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.84

No position

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.32

Yes position

Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21.1%
Multiplier: 4.74x
User PnL: $17.22

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.37

Yes position

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.91

No position

Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.81

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

Yes position

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15.4%
Multiplier: 6.51x
User PnL: $6.35

Yes position

US x China tariff agreement by November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

RC Celta de Vigo position

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Celtics position

Spread: Celtics (-2.5)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.22

Yes position

Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$9.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 92% 478.25 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 92.4% 606.32 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 93% 408.6 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Something 3.6% 1,423 shares
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 99.7% 211.16 shares
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 80.1% 641.34 shares
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 99.8% 2,103.03 shares
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 99.8% 2,667.59 shares
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 98.4% 130.01 shares
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Yes 0.3% 693.19 shares
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Yes 0.2% 2,680.08 shares
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 87.6% 33.33 shares