Polymarket Trader

0xC91b7D9F4463C9985f562149

0xc91b7d9f4463c9985f562149c31841cde87793bd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.29K
Realized PnL: $12.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.29K
Potential profit: $4.29K
User PnL: -$1.58K

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $964.71
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $391.76

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $946.68
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$476.54

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $3.11K
User PnL: -$19.62

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$384.84

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.9%
Current value: $332.95
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 4.38x
User PnL: -$596.54

Yes position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $291.33
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $664.84

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$307.49

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $138.66
Potential payout: $886
Potential profit: $747.34
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: -$304.34

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.4%
Current value: $747.34
Potential payout: $886
Potential profit: $138.66
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $304.34

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $91.4
Potential payout: $830.91
Potential profit: $739.51
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$163.11

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $570.68
Potential payout: $700.31
Potential profit: $129.63
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $30.52

No position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $659.73
Potential profit: $659.73
User PnL: -$367.82

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $31.8
Potential payout: $530
Potential profit: $498.2
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$32.26

No position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.4%
Current value: $460.43
Potential payout: $504.03
Potential profit: $43.6
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $57.21

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $122.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $377.5
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $387.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $112.5
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $488.74
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $405.67
Potential profit: $403.64
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$92.09

No position

Iran closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $398.27
Potential profit: $398.27
User PnL: -$73.06

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $378.74
Potential profit: $378.74
User PnL: -$150.15

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $19.11
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $338.03
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$102.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $874.48

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.12

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $549.81

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $548

No position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.54

No position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.37

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $207.3

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.97

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $171.7

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.5

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.95

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.94

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.48

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.78

No position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.98

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.68

No position

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.74

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.63

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.66

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 6% 70 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 6% 150 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 6.4% 130 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 74% 200 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 22% 24 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 22% 10 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 85% 57.1 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 80.4% 182 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 22% 58 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 22% 182 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 86.4% 171 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 91.5% 103.76 shares