No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
lovedson1
0xc91c2facefac4a5324ae34d885b80e56d7f202de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.36
- Realized PnL
- $429
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $14.47
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $318.87
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.9
- Potential profit
- $107.9
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.83
- Potential profit
- $95.83
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $22.12
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $72.22
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.18
- Potential profit
- $63.18
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $18.72
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $32.56
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $23.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Clement Tabur position
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Clement Tabur
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.49
- Potential profit
- $46.49
- User PnL
- -$9.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $35.59
- Potential profit
- $34.24
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$19.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.91
- Potential profit
- $31.91
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.42
- Potential profit
- $25.42
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.19
- Potential profit
- $24.19
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.74
- Potential profit
- $22.74
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $11.95
- Potential payout
- $21.15
- Potential profit
- $9.2
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9
76ers position
Celtics vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.55
- Potential profit
- $19.55
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.53
- Potential profit
- $16.53
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Kilian Feldbausch position
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Clement Tabur
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.41
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.37
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $17.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes 13% 96.19 shares
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?No 14% 69.23 shares
- Starmer out by June 25, 2026?No 10% 83.33 shares
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?No 12% 83.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 51% 19.23 shares
- Starmer out by June 25, 2026?No 12% 83.33 shares
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?No 13% 69.23 shares
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?No 12% 83.33 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 19% 52.63 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 59% 35.59 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 36% 50.13 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 37.9% 100.26 shares