Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $35
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $9
Polymarket Trader
baobaoa
0xc92488270c54a0da195e618d1ff3ab2679544805
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $165
- Realized PnL
- $193.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.43
- Potential profit
- $30.43
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.14
- Potential profit
- $24.14
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.6
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.17
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Solana above $215 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Will Solana reach $180 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Solana reach $300 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?No 10% 40 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 71% 24.7 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 25% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 45% 50 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes 61% 50 shares
- Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?No 9% 5 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 7% 50 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 29% 15 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 9.5% 50 shares
- Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 70% 50 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 29% 14 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No 69% 50 shares