Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.25
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Polymarket Trader
StevAplaty
@cryptosteva
0xc935a3b3742358a323c6777c51e7cc56f38b74cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $330.06
- Realized PnL
- $614.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.95
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $94
- Potential profit
- $86.95
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.13
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $57.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $22.8
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $21.9
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.24
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$5.64
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $23.99
- Potential payout
- $59.97
- Potential profit
- $35.98
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $54.58
- Potential profit
- $54.2
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.24
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Y
Yes position
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$3.68
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $28.18
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $6.82
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $5.77
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $10.32
- Potential payout
- $34.99
- Potential profit
- $24.67
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
N
No position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $26.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $11.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $18.45
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $20.3
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $22.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $21.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $23.99
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $22.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $24.5
- Potential profit
- $22.3
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.92
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $16.47
- Potential payout
- $21.25
- Potential profit
- $4.78
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $2.23
N
No position
Will South Africa be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3.08
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.91
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.89
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.95
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.9
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.39
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.7
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.09
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.42
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.23
Yes position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.84
No position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.31
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
N
No position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $15.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Yes 14% 25.5 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No 62% 30 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No 61% 8.93 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 79% 25 shares
- Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 22% 44 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 67% 21.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 74% 35 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 56% 18.6 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 40% 10 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 44.8% 12.5 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 44% 12.5 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 43.9% 25 shares