Polymarket Trader

pedrouan

0xc93785c178054d8b47d678e9a4fb2eba79d4a459

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.46
Realized PnL: $111.04
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.94
Potential profit: $181.94
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.09
Potential profit: $156.09
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $131.7
Potential profit: $130.71
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.97
Potential profit: $91.97
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Tucker Carlson federally charged?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.17
Potential profit: $86.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.17
Potential profit: $73.17
User PnL: -$3

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.48
Potential profit: $63.48
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.25
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.78
Potential profit: $43.78
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $40.5
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $9.81
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $28.65
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $4.81

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $32.6
Potential profit: $32.3
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.05
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.63

Yes position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.54

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.67

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.63

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.71

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.98

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$3.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Yes 0.2% 136.36 shares
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?

Yes 0.1% 25 shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Yes 7% 90.9 shares
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Yes 99.9% 26.57 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 56% 21.42 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 2.3% 86.96 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 10% 100 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 14% 21.43 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 8% 25 shares
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?

Yes 8% 25 shares