Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $452.76
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$26.79
Polymarket Trader
Egg
0xc93a958aaa0539f38a5b4bde2d9d2fda9fbfd30d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.6K
- Realized PnL
- $1.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $49.39
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $162.03
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.22
- Potential payout
- $956.41
- Potential profit
- $950.19
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Curtis Blaydes position
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.69
- Potential profit
- $44.69
- User PnL
- -$19.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.24
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.78
Yes position
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.76
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.58
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.67
Chiefs position
Chiefs vs. Steelers
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.58
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.88
Lions position
Lions vs. 49ers
Ends Jan 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.75
Commanders position
Falcons vs. Commanders
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.06
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $44.55
No position
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.12
No position
Will Josh Allen be the top Fantasy Quarterback?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.8
No position
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.74
No position
Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.98
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
Patriots position
Dolphins vs. Patriots
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.05
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.54
No position
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.37
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.12
No position
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
No position
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Curtis Blaydes 44% 43.93 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 27% 9 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 28% 9 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 25.8% 154 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 25.9% 497 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 25% 70 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 26% 38 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 26% 592 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 26% 102 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 26% 100 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 26% 272 shares