Polymarket Trader

zve3da

0xc948fd3e03895c8bad12135844aa6a484a0a33a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.81K
Realized PnL: $6.8K
Win rate: 95.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $23.18K
Potential payout: $23.43K
Potential profit: $245.96
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.49K
Potential profit: $5.49K
User PnL: -$5K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.7K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $12.02
User PnL: $90.3

No position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $11.93
User PnL: $79.37

No position

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $7.95
User PnL: $128.41

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $2.81
User PnL: $120.79

No position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $16.73
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $98.59

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: $108.33

No position

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $686.69
Potential profit: $686.69
User PnL: -$200

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $675.68
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.28
Potential profit: $401.28
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.96
Potential profit: $23.96
User PnL: -$9.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $590.21

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.84

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.39

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.8

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.62

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.45

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.2

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.71

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115

No position

U.S. strike on Nigeria by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.61

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.24

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.9

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.83

Yes position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.82

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.39

Yes position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.01

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.22

Carlos Ulberg position

UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$789.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No 97% 5,276.35 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No 94.4% 5,260.91 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No 92.5% 5,404.83 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No 95.9% 1,563.62 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 99.6% 416.66 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 97.7% 5,117.71 shares
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?

No 98.2% 1,018.55 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Yes 41% 23.96 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

No 19.6% 1,075.26 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No 96.5% 10,359.79 shares
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Carlos Ulberg 50% 29.55 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 72% 416.67 shares