Polymarket Trader

YMJ

0xc949f7bed5e0d40f624fb2c8403cd217bf04f6e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $3.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$23

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.42K
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$4.58

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$990.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 440–454 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $413.86
Potential profit: $413.86
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.78
Potential profit: $402.78
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376.38
Potential profit: $376.38
User PnL: -$3

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $356.62
Potential profit: $356.62
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330.28
Potential profit: $330.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.96
Potential profit: $267.96
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.54
Potential profit: $208.54
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.23
Potential profit: $200.23
User PnL: -$20

Natus Vincere position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $259.03

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $205.79

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.53

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.5

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.91

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3500 on July 18 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $133.68

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.84

GIANTX position

LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Natus Vincere position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.51

No position

Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.77

No position

Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.55

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.04

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.15

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.2

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.93

BNK FEARX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 2,291.2 shares
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

T1 96.9% 515.93 shares
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 66.3% 150.94 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5

Over 46.3% 200 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5

Under 99.9% 50.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 7.4% 500 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5

Over 70.3% 100 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5

Over 44% 5 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5

Over 89.4% 100 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5

Over 64% 75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 11.2% 70 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5

Over 98.7% 500 shares