No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $4.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $23.28
Polymarket Trader
alex2945545
0xc95539ac5c7b982484f42baeb0ff86dbf2f8b1e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.81K
- Realized PnL
- $140.19
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $3.25K
- Potential payout
- $4.25K
- Potential profit
- $998.52
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $713.51
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $80.4
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $10.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.43
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.93
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.31
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.33
No position
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.94
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.55
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$33.13
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$119.99
No position
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$486.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 35.5% 2,816.44 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 75.9% 300 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 48.8% 800 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 76% 100 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 2.9% 819.94 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 81.4% 321.89 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 55.1% 500 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 80.2% 2,300 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 25% 991.4 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 24.6% 2,031.39 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 24% 4,166.67 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 41.3% 4,842 shares