Polymarket Trader

Tarl

0xc97044fae49b20c6115defa88baee804e6420666

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $515.13
Realized PnL: $579.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $163
Potential payout: $168.82
Potential profit: $5.82
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 65.1%
Current value: $82.69
Potential payout: $127.12
Potential profit: $44.43
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$32.31

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $103.09
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $20.37
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.09

No position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $55.02
Potential payout: $101.89
Potential profit: $46.87
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $72.86
Potential payout: $77.92
Potential profit: $5.06
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $38.47
Potential payout: $58.73
Potential profit: $20.26
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$1.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon register the America Party in July?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.95

No position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.66

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.5

No position

Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.32

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.5

No position

Over 20M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.86

No position

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.63

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.26

No position

Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.33

Yes position

Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.43

No position

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $10.06

No position

Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.27

No position

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.41

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.16

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $7.06

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47

No position

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16

No position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37

No position

New Half-Life game by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 54% 46.33 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 54% 55.56 shares
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

No 96.6% 56.27 shares
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

No 96.5% 5 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Mexico 47% 10.64 shares
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

No 95.6% 230.09 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 95.3% 49.38 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 96% 178.95 shares
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?

No 93.2% 184.64 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 75% 3.72 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 13% 21.73 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 67% 55.01 shares