Polymarket Trader

1337Toma

0xc973a6a43846cb427b89ae6b6f7715f3d59ebdab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $89.86
Realized PnL: $152.68
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $5.66
Potential payout: $147.11
Potential profit: $141.45
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.62
Potential profit: $119.62
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $95.93
Potential profit: $93.77
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $80.65
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $72.5
Potential profit: $69.78
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $9.46
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $50.06
Multiplier: 6.29x
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $56.83
Potential profit: $52.65
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.67
Potential profit: $42.67
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $35.72
Potential profit: $30.84
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $31.26
Potential profit: $27.97
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $25.85
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $25.32
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.8%
Current value: $6.19
Potential payout: $24.04
Potential profit: $17.85
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $6.31
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $4.63
Potential payout: $22.06
Potential profit: $17.43
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $22.03
Potential profit: $17.52
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $8.64
Potential payout: $21.35
Potential profit: $12.7
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $20.44
Potential profit: $19.97
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $10.79
Potential payout: $20.17
Potential profit: $9.38
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $13.94
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $18.73
Potential profit: $16.95
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $18.08
Potential profit: $15.1
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $3.74
Potential payout: $18.03
Potential profit: $14.29
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $1.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.12

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.91

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.75

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $3.55

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 74% 2.7 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.8% 6.76 shares
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 34% 19.23 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

No 67% 3.75 shares
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?

No 87% 1.49 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 10.41 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.4% 8.9 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.8% 11.23 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 80.65 shares
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Yes 3% 7.89 shares
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 0.2% 18.66 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 66.4% 9.25 shares