N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $336.43
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$298.69
Polymarket Trader
0x44d525FCE138C5F30EE9C0A6f7CAe435f50e96A3-1778076399487
0xc981893436713c840dc37e45e99cc869cfc109da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.57
- Realized PnL
- $108
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.69
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.67
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 82% 270.5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No 99.9% 194.5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No 90.3% 194.51 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 93.1% 188.49 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 89.7% 66.9 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 61.01 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 84.5% 121.59 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 110.12 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 110.13 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 99% 21.02 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 97.1% 21.43 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.6% 82.44 shares