No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.29K
Polymarket Trader
anotherpatrick
0xc984e539bdd2699e2a0a28bcd995aaf439c337ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.35K
- Realized PnL
- $23.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $5.31K
- Potential payout
- $5.74K
- Potential profit
- $427.55
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $71.3
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $3.9K
- Potential payout
- $5.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$306.26
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $3.93K
- Potential payout
- $4.57K
- Potential profit
- $639.46
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $562.26
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.37K
- Potential payout
- $3.73K
- Potential profit
- $354.26
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $518.62
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $2.65K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $348
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$114
No position
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $2.27K
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $35.73
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $194.79
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $140.84
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.4%
- Current value
- $718.88
- Potential payout
- $992.93
- Potential profit
- $274.05
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $291.92
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.9%
- Current value
- $531.88
- Potential payout
- $783.32
- Potential profit
- $251.45
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $36.58
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $13.55
- Potential payout
- $135.45
- Potential profit
- $121.91
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.45
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.2%
- Current value
- $27.19
- Potential payout
- $42.99
- Potential profit
- $15.8
- Multiplier
- 1.58x
- User PnL
- $26.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $936.12
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $840.6
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.88
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.36
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.46
No position
Erdoฤan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $419.6
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.95
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $388.67
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.26
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $277.14
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $223.43
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.86
No position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $214.73
Yes position
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.31
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $195.23
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $191.85
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.93
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $169.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No 69.8% 1,555.43 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No 78.5% 3,057.33 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No 86.8% 529.55 shares
- Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?Yes 95.2% 103.39 shares
- Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?No 1.6% 500 shares
- Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?No 4.3% 500 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 40% 59.7 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 86.8% 1,214.16 shares
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?No 95.3% 2,109.87 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No 73.5% 130 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No 69% 130 shares
- Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90% 3,346.45 shares