Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $405.72
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- -$295.29
Polymarket Trader
1orca-dot-WhyRoman
0xc98c323ed1674986b0e73cdf28943779ee117e81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $436.04
- Realized PnL
- $80.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $815.84
- Potential profit
- $815.43
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $790.5
- Potential profit
- $790.5
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.5
- Potential profit
- $128.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $117.15
- Potential profit
- $117.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $101.55
- Potential profit
- $101.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.54
- Potential profit
- $61.54
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.49
- Potential profit
- $37.49
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.58
- Potential profit
- $32.58
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.45
- Potential profit
- $22.45
- User PnL
- -$2.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.33
- Potential payout
- $20.34
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $16.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $17.8
- Potential profit
- $17.79
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.06
- Potential profit
- $16.06
- User PnL
- -$3.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.86
- Potential profit
- $15.86
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $15.37
- Potential profit
- $15.36
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.14
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $15.05
- Potential profit
- $15.04
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.02
No position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $13.7
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.73
- Potential profit
- $12.73
- User PnL
- -$2.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.6
- Potential profit
- $12.6
- User PnL
- -$4.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.38
- Potential profit
- $11.38
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.96
- Potential profit
- $10.96
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.83
- Potential profit
- $10.83
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?No 33% 3.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?No 48% 2.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?Yes 14% 7.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 13?Yes 1.1% 95.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 13?No 1% 101.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?No 12.4% 8.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 13?No 0.1% 815.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 13?Yes 20% 5.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?No 20% 5.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?No 54% 1.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?No 56% 1.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?No 73% 1.37 shares