No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.36
- Potential profit
- $47.36
- User PnL
- -$13.26
Polymarket Trader
0xc99D0Ce574af6E809153B21D8b399884848110B6-1770831928709
0xc99d0ce574af6e809153b21d8b399884848110b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.91
- Realized PnL
- $45.22
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $6.19
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $31.31
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.39
- Potential profit
- $30.39
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $6.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $18.38
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $14.32
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.41
No position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?No 62.9% 14.32 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 38% 25.35 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 27.6% 25.36 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 28% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 16% 37.5 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 56% 8.77 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 8.53 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.2% 3.84 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 57% 8.77 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 82% 8.54 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98% 9.93 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.5% 5.75 shares