Polymarket Trader

0xc9A6008d14Ff3c82d51849B3A2Cb370202118C5a-1772263058278

0xc9a6008d14ff3c82d51849b3a2cb370202118c5a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.51K
Realized PnL: $431.01
Win rate: 27.3%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $471.15
Potential payout: $19.23K
Potential profit: $18.76K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$28.83

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $329.17
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $8K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$170.83

No position

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $3.67K
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $42.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $692.13

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.4%
Current value: $455.93
Potential payout: $780.7
Potential profit: $324.77
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$44.07

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $563.08
Potential payout: $581.4
Potential profit: $18.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $63.08

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $13.28
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.28

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $11.65
Potential payout: $11.85
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.62

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.27

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump say "Miami" during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 66.7% 15 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 97.6% 286.89 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 99% 1,009.6 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 1,288.9 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 98.2% 152.75 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 76% 11.85 shares
Will Trump say "Miami" during UFC 250?

No 99.4% 10.06 shares
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?

Yes 99% 151.54 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

No 99.9% 1 shares
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?

Yes 98.6% 50.71 shares
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?

Yes 99% 101.01 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 77.6% 1,288.91 shares