Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $225.19
- Potential payout
- $276.34
- Potential profit
- $51.15
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $18.14
Polymarket Trader
Reinhard1999
0xc9b861dacda36892849ab880be28e848df69b0fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $368.33
- Realized PnL
- $22.86
- Win rate
- 86.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $140.96
- Potential payout
- $155.76
- Potential profit
- $14.8
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.51
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $3.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 133.12 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.5% 104.16 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 73% 143.22 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.4% 104.67 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 82% 1.22 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 16% 10.52 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 87% 129.25 shares
- Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes 1.1% 53.82 shares
- Epstein suicide note released by May 31?No 88% 1.14 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 96% 104.17 shares
- Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes 4.6% 53.83 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 99.5% 104.49 shares