N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
Polymarket Trader
sheunsu
0xc9b861f21d61ad281c87f3ac264d608f894384a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.05
- Realized PnL
- $980.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.63
- Potential profit
- $156.63
- User PnL
- -$130
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $25.05
- Potential payout
- $128.45
- Potential profit
- $103.4
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$68.72
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.36
- Potential profit
- $15.36
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.67
- Potential profit
- $14.67
- User PnL
- -$11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.9
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.23
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.75
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 73% 128.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.2% 685.72 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 90.8% 1,707.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 17.5% 685.71 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 99.9% 1,666.66 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 78% 1,666.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 82.9% 1,578.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83% 156.63 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 28.5% 479.78 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 75.3% 479.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 95% 1,578.95 shares
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Yes 99.5% 36.55 shares