No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.96
Polymarket Trader
0xC9Ba724cC738Bd164FcA7Bcb45F78860B3c90292-1763909883868
0xc9ba724cc738bd164fca7bcb45f78860b3c90292
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.11
- Realized PnL
- -$2.23
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?No 58% 1.72 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?No 1.7% 58.82 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 51% 1.96 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes 9.9% 10.1 shares
- Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No 14.9% 6.71 shares
- Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes 97.6% 1.02 shares
- Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?No 98.1% 1.02 shares