No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $84.91K
- Potential payout
- $90K
- Potential profit
- $5.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.85K
Polymarket Trader
keribit
0xc9dcc3d90ad3e34fe4132eb8661ae728d6da9026
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $282.94K
- Realized PnL
- $99.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $39.9K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $22.92K
- Potential payout
- $24K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $662.46
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.23K
- Potential payout
- $21.24K
- Potential profit
- $10.62
- User PnL
- $81.96
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$70.96
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $19.93K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- $70.04
No position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $16.95K
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- $742.26
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $13.73K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $225.12
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $14.92K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- User PnL
- $149.59
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.87K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $86.64
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $13.28K
- Potential payout
- $13.31K
- Potential profit
- $33.28
- User PnL
- $189.8
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- $63.76
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.62K
- Potential payout
- $6.08K
- Potential profit
- $455.83
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$19.61
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.67K
- Potential payout
- $5.68K
- Potential profit
- $14.21
- User PnL
- $18.28
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $21.94
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $2.29
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.41K
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44K
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
No position
US military action against Iran in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 94.3% 315 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 93% 5,000 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.4% 52 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.3% 52 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No 99.5% 489 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No 99.5% 2,010.79 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 76 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.1% 5,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 99.4% 50 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No 99.5% 148 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 99.5% 5.2 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 99.6% 5 shares