LMVM

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.09
Potential profit: $120.09
User PnL: -$8.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $86
User PnL: -$6.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.43
Potential profit: $67.43
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.31
Potential profit: $67.31
User PnL: -$24.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.44
Potential profit: $66.44
User PnL: -$12.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.95
Potential profit: $65.95
User PnL: -$10.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.15
Potential profit: $65.15
User PnL: -$5.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.88
Potential profit: $61.88
User PnL: -$12.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $46
User PnL: -$8.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.44
Potential profit: $43.44
User PnL: -$7.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.8
Potential profit: $42.8
User PnL: -$4.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.8
Potential profit: $34.8
User PnL: -$6.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.01
Potential profit: $33.01
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.61
Potential profit: $30.61
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.49
Potential profit: $30.49
User PnL: -$7.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.13
Potential profit: $25.13
User PnL: -$5.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.08
Potential profit: $25.08
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.49

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $24.8

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $23.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 64°F or higher on May 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or higher on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or higher on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 24?