Polymarket Trader

marktree

0xc9df88e3a55abaefc0aef8b1295662872adf29cb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $120.28
Realized PnL: $54.96
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $53.33
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $280
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $3.33

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $15.61
Potential payout: $41.63
Potential profit: $26.02
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $3.61

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $27.2
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $31.18
Potential profit: $27.11
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $29.67
Potential profit: $26.85
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $10.68
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $16.35
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $8.62
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $12.66
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $15.79
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Google position

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $11.81
Potential payout: $13.57
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Ends Nov 5, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $6.77
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.35
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$4.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $5.21
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$3.99

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $5.43
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.79

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.7% 17.09 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Yes 61.9% 6.45 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 27% 7.41 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Yes 53% 9.43 shares
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

Yes 18.4% 5.43 shares
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 63% 15.87 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Down 60% 8.33 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 13% 15.38 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 20% 10 shares