No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $685.91
- Potential payout
- $714.12
- Potential profit
- $28.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Polymarket Trader
natheng
0xc9eb6ec9a5289b1903653aa1cb6e0f02476739b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.03K
- Realized PnL
- $566.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $230.19
- Potential payout
- $263.07
- Potential profit
- $32.88
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $113.39
- Potential payout
- $116
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.63
Toronto Blue Jays position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.37
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.81
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.27
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.38
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,500 on March 8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.12
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.09
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.51
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.16
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,900 November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 21?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 96% 714.12 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 97.6% 116 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 87% 263.07 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 99.5% 451 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99.2% 580 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 7?No 98% 110 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.2% 899.48 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.9% 129 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.6% 1,012 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No 99.8% 1,008.28 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 99.2% 1,007.56 shares
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Tyra Caterina GrantPanna Udvardy 55.1% 546.71 shares