Yes position
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $64.52
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
DerPat
0xc9ed453d8ed609ec0adde1e90e0aa7bfcfbe20b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $225.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.25
No position
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
Ends Apr 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.26
No position
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.01
No position
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Larry Page position
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Mark Zuckerberg or Larry Page?
Ends Feb 20, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.21
Bezos position
Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021?
Ends Apr 25, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
No position
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021?
Ends Apr 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.15
Warren Buffett position
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Warren Buffett or Sergey Brin?
Ends Feb 20, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.42
No position
Will Magnus play Hans by EoY?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Trump position
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Ends Sep 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
No position
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
No position
International soccer: Will there be 3 or more goals in Ireland v. Portugal game on November 11?
Ends Nov 11, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
TikTok sale announced before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Y
Yes position
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest?
Ends May 14, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
Ends Jul 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022?
Ends Apr 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes 42% 23.81 shares
- Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?Yes 31% 64.52 shares
- Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?No 84% 11.9 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No 61% 16.39 shares
- Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?Yes 84.1% 11.89 shares
- Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes 44% 22.73 shares
- Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Yes 95% 10.53 shares
- Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 57.9% 15.41 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?No 72% 37.53 shares