No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.15K
- Potential payout
- $5.63K
- Potential profit
- $478.61
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $363.12
Polymarket Trader
0xc9f1...137c
0xc9f197ffc1e66ace792419966a1290c13deb137c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $8.43K
- Realized PnL
- $5.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $935.6
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $69.88
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $12.78
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $63.78
- Potential payout
- $981.21
- Potential profit
- $917.43
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$159.32
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $460.99
- Potential payout
- $761.96
- Potential profit
- $300.97
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$84.47
No position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $49.28
- Potential payout
- $480.77
- Potential profit
- $431.49
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$50.72
Yes position
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $314.73
- Potential profit
- $311.74
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$7.01
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $271.75
- Potential payout
- $271.89
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $150.75
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $254.48
- Potential payout
- $271.74
- Potential profit
- $17.26
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $197.59
- Potential payout
- $250.11
- Potential profit
- $52.52
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $29.76
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $222.84
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$5.57
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $18.21
- Potential payout
- $224.8
- Potential profit
- $206.59
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $197.48
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $30.89
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $45.54
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $133.04
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $96.12
- Potential payout
- $168.66
- Potential profit
- $72.54
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $124.17
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $17.42
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $134.09
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$82.58
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $114
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $19.33
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $46.04
- Potential payout
- $122.76
- Potential profit
- $76.73
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $118.8
- Potential payout
- $118.86
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $18.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $100.5
- Potential payout
- $116.19
- Potential profit
- $15.69
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $112.13
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $12.13
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.1%
- Current value
- $46.42
- Potential payout
- $60.24
- Potential profit
- $13.83
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$3.58
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $53.16
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $887.34
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.67
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.82
Yes position
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.34
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.22
Yes position
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.68
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.41
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.56
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.77
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.77
Yes position
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.8
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.12
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.78
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.43
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 38% 122.76 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 41.4% 48.36 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86.7% 137.18 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 89% 74.82 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 461.82 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 8.9% 224.8 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 59.3% 168.66 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.6% 137.19 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 66.9% 176.18 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 73% 585.78 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 74% 13.51 shares