Polymarket Trader

chicho

0xca00024cebb5e6caa04991882ffccd3739c769a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.62K
Realized PnL: $121.86
Win rate: 86.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.44K
User PnL: -$357.96

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $265.53
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $310.69

Yes position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $642.95
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $944.58
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$260.25

Yes position

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $270.89
Potential payout: $429.99
Potential profit: $159.1
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $42.7

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.32
Potential profit: $418.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.65
Potential profit: $317.65
User PnL: -$13.53

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $155.95
Potential profit: $154.24
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$68.28

Yes position

Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 175-199 times?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.71
Potential profit: $39.71
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will JD Vance say "border" 5 or more times during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.44
Potential profit: $33.44
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will JD Vance say "Trump" 20 or more times during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2025?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.09
Potential profit: $18.09
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 1100 and 1149 times September 1–30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.39
Potential profit: $14.39
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "rig" or "rigged" during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.17
Potential profit: $11.17
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.61

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

No position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.29

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.86

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Trump say "Don't Take Tylenol" in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Haitian" during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.93

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

No position

2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

No position

Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel cancelled by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.96

No position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.91

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes 42.6% 30 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Yes 59% 8.47 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Yes 52% 9.62 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes 35.3% 240 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes 35% 108 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes 36% 189 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes 37.5% 208 shares
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes 39.6% 144 shares
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Yes 57% 10 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Yes 98.1% 355 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Yes 77.4% 355.39 shares