No position
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.16K
- Potential profit
- $39.16K
- User PnL
- -$248.77
Polymarket Trader
Rapist4
0xca031cbf7fdf9e97d87a3eb0fd684b1440ce91b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $887.64
- Realized PnL
- $8.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.54K
- Potential profit
- $8.54K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
No position
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.03K
- User PnL
- -$87.8
No position
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $642.91
- Potential payout
- $751.94
- Potential profit
- $109.03
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $266.94
No position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $244.73
- Potential payout
- $298.45
- Potential profit
- $53.72
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.79
No position
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $794.1
No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $766.58
No position
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.01
Down position
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.47
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $280
Down position
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
Yes position
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.51
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.96
No position
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.55
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.24
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.99
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Down position
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.95
Down position
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.25
Down position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $76.5
No position
Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.62
Down position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-21?
Ends Apr 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?No 57.5% 2,606.93 shares
- Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 6% 1,500 shares
- Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?No 24.4% 789.3 shares
- Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 22% 1,049.08 shares
- Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?No 13% 8,768.53 shares
- Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 17% 103.58 shares
- Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 2.9% 2,966.12 shares
- Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 0.7% 5,013.48 shares
- Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 0.7% 19,482.04 shares
- Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?No 11.9% 5,152.06 shares
- Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 17% 5,179.29 shares
- Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 0.5% 11,651.39 shares