Yes position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $504.37
- Potential profit
- $502.86
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$24.21
Polymarket Trader
PlutusFavored
@Bright88880000
0xca071f1b691801ba62a32296032f5445f0436269
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $205.59
- Realized PnL
- $5.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $106.05
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $103.95
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$11.55
Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $110.05
- Potential profit
- $109.28
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $40.27
- Potential payout
- $104.59
- Potential profit
- $64.32
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $102.87
- Potential profit
- $96.18
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $23.31
- Potential payout
- $72.85
- Potential profit
- $49.54
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will Trump announce Stephen Hahn as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $52.89
- Potential profit
- $50.51
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $42.24
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $6.71
- Potential payout
- $27.4
- Potential profit
- $20.69
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $4.2
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $3.97
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Knicks
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700
Liverpool FC position
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $644.49
No position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.52
No position
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.44
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319
Yes position
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.45
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.37
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.4
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.08
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.84
Yes position
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.95
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.5
No position
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.7
No position
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.99
Over position
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
Top Esports position
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.5
Over position
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.62
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Under position
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.9
No position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.6
Fagiano Okayama position
Spread: V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.5)
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?No 59% 14.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 25?No 68% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 25?No 62% 19.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?Yes 34% 7.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?No 67% 32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 24?Yes 56% 45.56 shares
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7% 102.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 24?No 40% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 25?Yes 26% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 26?No 75.3% 14.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 24?Yes 44% 193 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 24?No 57% 10.19 shares