Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $763
- Potential profit
- $763
- User PnL
- -$108.86
Polymarket Trader
Fatetakethewheel
0xca081780bdc892deb5a9a8114514d756c2631267
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $740.98
- Realized PnL
- $1.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $113.22
- Potential payout
- $647
- Potential profit
- $533.77
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $437.24
- Potential profit
- $437.24
- User PnL
- -$15.67
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $16.6
- Potential payout
- $399.96
- Potential profit
- $383.37
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $383.85
- Potential payout
- $385
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- User PnL
- $103.96
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $196.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $103.5
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.4
- Potential profit
- $74.4
- User PnL
- -$9.02
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.78
- Potential profit
- $39.78
- User PnL
- -$34.21
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $30.56
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.33
- Potential profit
- $7.33
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $257.2
Yes position
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.58
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.99
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.89
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.92
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.53
Yes position
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.2
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.57
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.69
Over position
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.2
Yes position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.46
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.97
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.85
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.85
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.6
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $18.32
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.92
No position
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.52
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $14.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 60% 300 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 75.3% 8 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No 76% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No 51% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 72.7% 80 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 72.7% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 72.7% 200 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 72.5% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 116 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77% 1,370 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 71 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 96.3% 40 shares