Polymarket Trader

abian123

0xca0ae5085fabc743197b8c47f9f554929d948203

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.44K
Realized PnL: -$551.84
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $7.4K
Potential profit: $5.96K
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.71
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.28
Potential profit: $18.28
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $8.41
Potential profit: $7.7
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$4.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $87.5

Over position

VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.9

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.78

Yes position

Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,070,000 and $1,080,000 by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32.25

Yes position

Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$188.75

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$381.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

Yes 18% 18.28 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 64% 8.41 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 33% 7,401.06 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 12% 20,339.79 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 20% 20 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 47% 1,063.83 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 14% 17,857.71 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 47% 1,063.83 shares
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5

Over 86% 15.12 shares
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5

Over 86% 1.16 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 53% 100 shares
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Yes 27% 226.71 shares