No position
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $23.43
- Potential payout
- $23.92
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Polymarket Trader
fdr231q
0xca136a17490f4eb0e2222984472192c45e105b74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.52
- Realized PnL
- $123.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $14.08
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $10.02
- Potential payout
- $10.29
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.81
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Pedro Pascal be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
US inauguration on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Sony release the Playstation 5 Pro in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Purdue win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.2% 10.29 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 64% 22 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No 98% 14.29 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?No 97% 23.92 shares
- Will Pedro Pascal be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?No 96.6% 6.33 shares
- Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No 98.4% 6.31 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?Yes 98.8% 5.28 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No 98.3% 6.61 shares
- Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No 99.9% 5.81 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No 98.5% 6.42 shares
- Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No 99.3% 6.59 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No 99.3% 6.24 shares