No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
sheldak
0xca17a3777cea85dce7d6be64a4227f7ed00bc46a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.4
- Realized PnL
- $49.46
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $14.2
- Potential payout
- $389.03
- Potential profit
- $374.83
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.88
- Potential profit
- $312.88
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $300.01
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.76
- Potential profit
- $119.76
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.43
- Potential profit
- $116.43
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.08
- Potential profit
- $115.08
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.95
- Potential profit
- $113.95
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $111.76
- Potential profit
- $110.48
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.57
- Potential profit
- $106.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.53
- Potential profit
- $105.53
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.74
- Potential profit
- $102.74
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $95.49
- Potential profit
- $92.58
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.05
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,225-$5,350 in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Over position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 77% 3.25 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No 48% 5.35 shares
- Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5 AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?22.4% 4.33 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 33% 3.24 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No 37% 5.35 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 42.86 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.1% 389.03 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 50% 10.2 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 130 shares
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 750 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.8% 52.63 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 19% 9.74 shares