Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $6.07K
- Potential payout
- $33.25K
- Potential profit
- $27.18K
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$10.56K
Polymarket Trader
BigodinSagaz
0xca1e480969a9862e38881bfaa19de019f78675ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.9K
- Realized PnL
- $22.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $27.18K
- Potential payout
- $33.25K
- Potential profit
- $6.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $10.56K
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $508.43
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$833.75
No position
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$642.49
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $496.76
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- User PnL
- $21.15
No position
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $290.55
- Potential payout
- $377.34
- Potential profit
- $86.79
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $136.97
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $170
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $30
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $92
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.82
- Potential profit
- $188.82
- User PnL
- -$20.39
Yes position
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $134.32
- Potential profit
- $89.32
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$45.71
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $56.5
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
No position
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $9.53
- Potential payout
- $24.43
- Potential profit
- $14.91
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5K
No position
Will Trump say "Bad Bunny" or "Crypto" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34K
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 15)
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Nelk Boys complete hole-in-one challenge by noon Thursday?
Ends Jul 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $897.52
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $799.33
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.37
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $685.15
No position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $600.1
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.77
Yes position
@pumpdotfun X account unsuspended by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.26
Yes position
ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464
Yes position
Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" this week?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.07
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.9
Yes position
Will Trump say "Skedaddle" this week?
Ends Jul 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.16
No position
Will Jin's "Don't Say You Love Me" break top 5 on Billboard Global top 200 next week?
Ends Jun 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.81
No position
Will Taylor Swift release a new original album by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.16
Yes position
HasanAbi unbanned from Twitch by Thursday?
Ends Mar 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.42
No position
Will Portnoy give another 9+ review in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.59
No position
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribes" during his next video?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.26
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.85
Yes position
Will Trump post "President DJT" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.58
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani tweet 40 or more times Tuesday?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?No 45% 5 shares
- Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?No 40.7% 487.19 shares
- Will Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?Yes 96.8% 71.25 shares
- Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?Yes 90.2% 1,487.37 shares
- Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?No 72% 148.79 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?No 49.4% 772 shares
- Will Trump dance during UFC 327?Yes 35% 222.57 shares
- Will Trump say "Coward" in April?No 50% 34.46 shares
- Will Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Yes 29.1% 248.94 shares
- Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" during Address to the Nation?No 61.4% 70 shares
- Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?No 63.3% 149.03 shares
- Will Trump's remarks not air?No 98% 50 shares