Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430.89
- Potential profit
- $430.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xca1Ed4fB22A21c3230E14d18CD667975F3e88c3e-1779271290007
0xca1ed4fb22a21c3230e14d18cd667975f3e88c3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.53
- Realized PnL
- $435.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.17
- Potential profit
- $303.17
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $15.89
- Potential payout
- $244.44
- Potential profit
- $228.56
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$6.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $8.83
- Potential payout
- $109.72
- Potential profit
- $100.89
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.35
- Potential profit
- $101.35
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.31
- Potential profit
- $93.31
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.12
- Potential profit
- $36.12
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.68
- Potential profit
- $35.68
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.53
- Potential profit
- $35.53
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.45
- Potential profit
- $32.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.78
- Potential profit
- $21.78
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.17
- Potential profit
- $18.17
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.29
- Potential profit
- $15.29
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.11
- Potential profit
- $14.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.23
- Potential profit
- $13.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.88
- Potential profit
- $12.88
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.07
- Potential profit
- $12.07
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $8.83
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$3.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?Yes 47% 10.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?Yes 9.1% 109.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 4?Yes 2.5% 114.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 4?Yes 8.7% 114.78 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?Yes 14.5% 53.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?Yes 9.4% 53.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp 28% 3.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETDown 35% 2.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp 48% 2.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 83% 1.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 88% 1.14 shares