Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $73.63
- Potential payout
- $626.66
- Potential profit
- $553.03
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $22.87
Polymarket Trader
tsybulka
0xca23111ccc44df5c9196627c875a72746a92f403
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.69K
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $492.21
- Potential payout
- $562.53
- Potential profit
- $70.32
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $41.64
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $430.23
- Potential payout
- $435.67
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $84.76
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $124.37
- Potential payout
- $261.83
- Potential profit
- $137.46
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $182.43
- Potential payout
- $220.46
- Potential profit
- $38.03
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $53.64
- Potential payout
- $104.15
- Potential profit
- $50.51
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $84.69
- Potential payout
- $86.2
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $71.98
- Potential payout
- $82.26
- Potential profit
- $10.28
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.41
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$49.2
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $34.5
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $46.88
- Potential profit
- $46.2
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.91
- Potential profit
- $44.91
- User PnL
- -$9.14
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $34.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $18.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $21.2
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $33.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.58
- Potential profit
- $39.58
- User PnL
- -$4.61
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $23.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $20.91
- Potential payout
- $21.95
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $3.24
- Potential payout
- $12.24
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.06
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.08
- Potential profit
- $11.08
- User PnL
- -$6.12
Yes position
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.32
- Potential profit
- $10.32
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.69
- Potential profit
- $9.69
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.57
- Potential profit
- $9.57
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 0.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 0.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 0.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 0.84 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 1.35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 1.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 1.21 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 0.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 3.31 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 9.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 5.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 0.33 shares