Polymarket Trader

lo11fty

0xca33ee95c8fafbe7795a73dd44a3314c32cc09f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $53.09
Realized PnL: $57.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $28.56
Potential profit: $19.12
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.99
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $5.82
Potential payout: $17.36
Potential profit: $11.54
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $5.72
Potential payout: $12.16
Potential profit: $6.44
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $10.72
Potential profit: $9.33
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $8.67
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $1.97
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $4.17
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $8.96
Potential profit: $8.91
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $8.64
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.38

No position

Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $4.07
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $7.01
Potential profit: $2.73
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 27.1%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $6.65
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $3.61
Potential payout: $6.34
Potential profit: $2.73
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.31
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $5.09
Potential profit: $4.35
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.28

Seattle Orcas position

Major League Cricket: Texas Super Kings vs Seattle Orcas

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $5.06
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $5.05
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.04
Potential profit: $5.04
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.03
Potential profit: $5.03
User PnL: -$1.49

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.18
Potential profit: $4.18
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.99
Potential profit: $3.99
User PnL: -$0.76

Raphael Collignon position

Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Raphael Collignon

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.66
Potential profit: $3.66
User PnL: -$0.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

9z position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

No position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Argentina leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $2.12

McCartney Kessler position

HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Taylor Fritz position

Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Vivo Keyd Stars position

LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

No 41.9% 5.5 shares
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?

No 49% 8.4 shares
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

No 32.6% 6.65 shares
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Yes 18% 10.72 shares
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Yes 35% 8.68 shares
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Yes 35% 8.68 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.6% 7.42 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.6% 7.42 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.7% 10.85 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.7% 10.85 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.7% 10.85 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.7% 10.85 shares