Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $83.92
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$16.07
Polymarket Trader
nickadamus
0xca376dad6aa92ce2b6c82b1c2ef8f54ad69ea2ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.24K
- Realized PnL
- $199.95
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $58.61
- Potential payout
- $604.19
- Potential profit
- $545.58
- Multiplier
- 10.31x
- User PnL
- $18.61
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $396.02
- Potential payout
- $442.48
- Potential profit
- $46.46
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $46.02
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $309.97
- Potential payout
- $354.26
- Potential profit
- $44.28
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $54.97
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $240.67
- Potential payout
- $278.23
- Potential profit
- $37.56
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $40.67
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $227.26
- Potential payout
- $229.09
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- User PnL
- $27.26
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $131.82
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $19.7
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $31.82
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $133.58
- Potential payout
- $149.25
- Potential profit
- $15.67
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $33.58
No position
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $95.73
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $26.22
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$4.27
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $101.98
- Potential payout
- $119.27
- Potential profit
- $17.29
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Elon Bull Run Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Current value
- $93.74
- Potential payout
- $106.4
- Potential profit
- $12.66
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $71.83
- Potential payout
- $79.37
- Potential profit
- $7.54
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $21.83
No position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $62.33
- Potential payout
- $68.12
- Potential profit
- $5.79
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $12.33
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $55.86
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $5.86
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.86
Roblox position
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $34.51
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $24.48
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$15.49
No position
McDonald's CEO out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $55.48
- Potential payout
- $56.39
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.48
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $53.58
- Potential payout
- $53.76
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $33.04
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $2.68
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.57
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.08
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $21.33
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.96
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.15
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $7.96
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $7.77
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
No position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 83.8% 65.65 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 98.5% 58.82 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 6.6% 604.19 shares
- Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?Roblox 84.8% 59 shares
- Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 87.3% 229.09 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No 67% 149.25 shares
- Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 82% 121.95 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 71% 140.85 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 83.8% 119.27 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 72% 83.33 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 82% 58.82 shares
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?Yes 41.1% 42.95 shares