Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.98K
- Potential profit
- $24.98K
- User PnL
- -$99.9
Polymarket Trader
FirstAfterGod
0xca4195e88f38da25f69dbdc8d56d25777aaa0616
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $490.79
- Realized PnL
- $10.45K
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $490.79
- Potential payout
- $12.12K
- Potential profit
- $11.63K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$478.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $984.66
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.46
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$85.51
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$138.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$225.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8% 139.75 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8% 11,978.5 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,391.97 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes 99.8% 4,392.25 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 99.8% 9,479.2 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes 47.3% 4,392.26 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 20% 10,390.17 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 17.9% 3,368.1 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes 26% 2,315.95 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes 23% 2,315.96 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes 5.5% 9,628.95 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes 5.7% 9,628.96 shares