Polymarket Trader

0xCA5b97fF74548bD6b1a9eebCCc00aDc4178fB1aC-1726662322581

0xca5b97ff74548bd6b1a9eebccc00adc4178fb1ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $62.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Robert O'Brien for Secretary of State?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

No position

German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump nominate John Paulson for Treasury Secretary?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.48
Potential profit: $23.48
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.7
Potential profit: $21.7
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.62
Potential profit: $13.62
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.39
Potential profit: $5.39
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

East coast port strike in January?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

No position

Israel military response against Iran in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $1.35
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will FC Lorient vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.18

No position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk speak at Trump's Pennsylvania rally Saturday?

Ends Oct 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Pershing Square IPO in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Taylor Swift attend Kamala's Pennsylvania rally?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Harris reach 60% before Trump flips her on Silver Bulletin?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

U.S. military action against Iran before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Tesla sells bitcoin in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Israel military response against Iran today?

Ends Oct 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 0.2% 5 shares
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

No 59% 1.69 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Yes 71% 1.41 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

No 3% 2.27 shares
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Yes 59% 16.95 shares
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?

No 96.8% 7.5 shares
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?

No 96.8% 2.5 shares
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?

No 96.9% 5 shares
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?

No 96.9% 5 shares
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Yes 91% 0.76 shares