Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $18.9
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $51.1
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$7.53
Polymarket Trader
0xca5d...4399
0xca5d8f3a8f60bf275f059b3cb9574bbc0ca54399
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $27.42
- Realized PnL
- -$9
- Win rate
- 30.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.2%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $2.23
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.8%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $13.81
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$8.52
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$13.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 87% 14 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 19% 14 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 80% 9 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 79.2% 6 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.7% 6 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.7% 15 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 7.3% 24 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 86% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 15% 14 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 19% 29 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes 71.2% 7 shares