Polymarket Trader

guolub

0xca61a3dcf146998680c991a88bd755c4dd39dc6a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50.77
Realized PnL: $614.2
Win rate: 61.9%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$130

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.7
Potential profit: $699.7
User PnL: -$140

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.91
Potential profit: $295.91
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.42
Potential profit: $228.42
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.54
Potential profit: $169.54
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.14
Potential profit: $149.14
User PnL: -$21.33

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.54
Potential profit: $116.54
User PnL: -$49.91

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.25
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $15.52
Potential payout: $15.62
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.99
User PnL: -$10

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $10.86
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

SBF released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $10.04
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.04

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $6.9
User PnL: -$2

Jay Clarke position

Kosice: Jay Clarke vs Milos Karol

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $5.68
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.38
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $2.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.07

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.02

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.24

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.42

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.38

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.44

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.86

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.82

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Geek Fam ID position

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$110

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 11.24 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 29% 6.9 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 12.99 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93% 5.38 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.1% 50.45 shares
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs

Geek Fam ID 96.2% 10.39 shares
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 98.6% 2.03 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 96% 5.21 shares
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

No 94% 5.32 shares
SBF released from custody in 2026?

No 95% 10.53 shares
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?

Yes 98.8% 5.06 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 96% 10.42 shares