Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Polymarket Trader
yuan90641101
@yuanyuan2023887
0xca68ed0605d63405dcf97ff20699454f875a9c6c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $187.7
- Realized PnL
- $830.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$846.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $574.81
- Potential profit
- $574.81
- User PnL
- -$186.81
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$106.04
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $98.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $89
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.13
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.69
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.4
No position
Will White House post 100-119 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.26
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.08
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.88
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.86
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.68
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.56
No position
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
No position
Will White House post 80-99 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 82% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 93.8% 100 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 67% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 52% 160 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 76.2% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 66% 60 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87.6% 400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 65% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 86.5% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 83.9% 5.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 77% 197 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 58% 31.54 shares