Polymarket Trader

krewe

0xca6a4b3e35c9d2174089568cf8dff1f82b0ea71d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $100.53
Realized PnL: $724.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $9.02
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $11.41
Potential payout: $485.5
Potential profit: $474.09
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $6.32
Potential payout: $383.29
Potential profit: $376.97
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $6.65
Potential payout: $251.12
Potential profit: $244.46
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $7.57
Potential payout: $191.65
Potential profit: $184.08
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $7.92
Potential payout: $140.19
Potential profit: $132.27
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $103.51
Potential profit: $96.63
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $95.1
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $86.19
Potential profit: $76.24
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $71.54
Potential profit: $65.93
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $67.78
Potential profit: $63.98
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $8.38
Potential payout: $65.22
Potential profit: $56.84
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $8.08
Potential payout: $43.78
Potential profit: $35.71
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $43.01
Potential profit: $37.1
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$1.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.3

No position

Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.8

Yes position

FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $45.87

Yes position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.4

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.66

Yes position

Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.66

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.4

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.23

Michael position

The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.14

No position

Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

No position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.19

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.45

No position

Will "Jamie" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.35

Yes position

James Comey arrested by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.25

No position

Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.99

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.63

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.34

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.23

Yes position

Will MINHxDYNASTY win the Legend Trade Series?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.75

No position

Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.65

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 86.19 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

No 99.3% 15 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Yes 13.9% 27.78 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Yes 5.1% 98.04 shares
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Gentle Mates 38% 25.82 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 2.1% 142.86 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Yes 96.5% 22.72 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 79.9% 17 shares
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5

Yes 44% 11.16 shares
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5

Yes 51% 9.65 shares
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5

No 53% 9.3 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 47% 20.94 shares