Polymarket Trader

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0xca6ba3c5099185f69f1e6ecbfc1da816c38fc8d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.16
Realized PnL: $15.75
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 4?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 23 - March 29 be greater than 19,500,000?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 18?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be less than 300k?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

No position

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86
Potential profit: $1.86
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $1.48
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.75

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Kings

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Nuggets position

Suns vs. Nuggets

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Jazz

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Fed rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 67.7% 1.48 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 99.4% 1.56 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 64% 1.56 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 9.5% 10 shares
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

No 61% 2.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?

Yes 84% 2.38 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

No 95.4% 2.85 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

No 35% 2.86 shares
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

No 38% 7.5 shares
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

No 9% 10 shares
US strikes Iraq by March 7?

No 44% 2.27 shares