0xca75...0a64

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$19.75

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$19.65

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.83
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.75
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.73
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.08
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$7.08

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.95
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.7
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.73
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.65
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.6
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.85
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will Derek Gee-West win the 2026 Tour De France?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.94
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Thymen Arensman win the 2026 Tour De France?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.94
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Kévin Vauquelin win the 2026 Tour De France?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.94
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Brandon McNulty win the 2026 Tour De France?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Mattias Skjelmose win the 2026 Tour De France?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.94
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Matteo Jorgenson win the 2026 Tour De France?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.9
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $16.37

No position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $15.1

No position

Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $14.62

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $14.42

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $13.87

No position

Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $11.98

No position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

Implied probability: 58%
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

Implied probability: 42%
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 28%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?

Implied probability: 31%
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?

Implied probability: 17.1%
Multiplier: 5.85x
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Will Nito Abreu win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 8.6%
Multiplier: 11.63x
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 77%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Edna Nabess win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Republicans win 4 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?

Implied probability: 13.2%
Multiplier: 7.58x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?

Implied probability: 10.1%
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 4?