No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $674.55K
- Potential profit
- $674.55K
- User PnL
- -$569.84K
Polymarket Trader
AssuredAdverts
0xca765a4d03509c1dfed7a061b3fa632190d428b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.01K
- Realized PnL
- -$54.55K
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611.18K
- Potential profit
- $611.18K
- User PnL
- -$201.58K
No position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $582.03K
- Potential profit
- $582.03K
- User PnL
- -$185.95K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $284.41K
- Potential profit
- $284.41K
- User PnL
- -$101.7K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.84K
- Potential profit
- $270.84K
- User PnL
- -$95.33K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107K
- Potential profit
- $107K
- User PnL
- -$78.88K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $42K
- User PnL
- -$24.57K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.86K
- Potential profit
- $28.86K
- User PnL
- -$24K
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $12.08K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.53K
- Potential profit
- $13.53K
- User PnL
- -$11.87K
Yes position
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $13.01K
- User PnL
- -$590.93
Yes position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- User PnL
- -$2.04K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.91K
- Potential profit
- $10.91K
- User PnL
- -$7.42K
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $626.66
- Potential payout
- $626.66
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $123.1
Yes position
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $199.83
- Potential payout
- $199.83
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $21.46
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.8
- Potential profit
- $63.8
- User PnL
- -$56.3
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $62.72
- Potential payout
- $62.72
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $13.12
Grizzlies position
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.02
- Potential payout
- $39.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $23.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $6.71
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Bucks position
Mavericks vs. Bucks
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $4.59
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.14K
No position
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.67K
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.24K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.43K
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $942.7
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $829.05
No position
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.28
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$106.51
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$755.36
Over position
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Shelton position
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.16K
Zverev position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.58K
Musetti position
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$74.82K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$123.88K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No 35% 29,964.12 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 35% 30,000 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 34% 13,000 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 30% 7,483.4 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 30% 219 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 27.6% 10,730.2 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 32.6% 1,581.58 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 32.4% 7,543.1 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 32.6% 2,912.08 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 32.9% 5,358.61 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 33% 461.14 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 36.7% 22,000 shares