Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $307.28
- Potential profit
- $306.51
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.23
Polymarket Trader
kage-1
0xca86f34fd343f25f740df0d68b133cf3bc743342
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.59
- Realized PnL
- $126.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $124.53
- Potential profit
- $124.47
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.1
- Potential profit
- $88.1
- User PnL
- -$14.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.49
- Potential profit
- $55.49
- User PnL
- -$8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.33
- Potential profit
- $29.33
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.7
- Potential profit
- $15.7
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.4
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.89
- Potential profit
- $14.89
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.34
- Potential profit
- $12.34
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $10.23
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.06
- Potential profit
- $10.06
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.69
- Potential profit
- $9.69
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.64
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.53
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18
- Potential profit
- $3.18
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
No position
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.21
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 26?Yes 72.4% 18.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 26?Yes 60.7% 19.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 26?Yes 0.7% 124.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?Yes 2% 307.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 26?No 87.6% 2.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?No 56% 10.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?Yes 20% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 26?No 99.1% 38.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 26?No 99.4% 0.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 26?No 99.4% 1.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 26?No 73% 41.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 25?Yes 0.1% 37.2 shares