Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.38K
- Potential profit
- $18.38K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Polymarket Trader
Mdb2303
0xca886a7ed635c3b770fccfd251c86eec34967caa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $509.36
- Realized PnL
- $78.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $76.82
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$22.84
Yes position
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $122.03
- Potential payout
- $3.87K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $63.92
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.81K
- User PnL
- -$64.99
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$57
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$121
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $918.18
- Potential profit
- $918.18
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $46.12
- Potential payout
- $862.07
- Potential profit
- $815.95
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$53.88
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $740.56
- Potential profit
- $740.56
- User PnL
- -$257
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.78
- Potential profit
- $434.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $264.01
- Potential payout
- $266.81
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $149.28
Yes position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.17
- Potential profit
- $209.17
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $176.47
- User PnL
- -$60
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.13
- Potential profit
- $155.13
- User PnL
- -$8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.84
- Potential profit
- $148.84
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.5
- Potential profit
- $148.5
- User PnL
- -$11.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.32
- Potential profit
- $140.32
- User PnL
- -$8.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.72
- Potential profit
- $125.72
- User PnL
- -$29.79
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $106.04
- Potential profit
- $105.67
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$14.63
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.18K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.15K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.4
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.62
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.41
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.26
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.47
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.02
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- $20.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.86
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Yes position
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes 43% 266.81 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.8% 6,666.66 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes 21% 16.81 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?11% 109.09 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes 52% 13.46 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes 3% 100 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Yes 11% 45.45 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Yes 5.7% 87.72 shares